In the basketball-shooting example, the hot hand effect pertains to the belief that a hot player has an increased likelihood of making the next shot he or she takes. … misses in basketball shooting, or wins vs. losses in roulette betting).
What does hot hand mean in basketball?
The idea that basketball players can find themselves with a ‘hot hand’ – a streak in which they seem magically to make shot after shot – resonates with sports reporters and spectators alike.
Is the hot hand real in basketball?
The authors concluded that people were right to believe that the hot hand exists in basketball. A 2021 study, using data from NBA Three-Point Contests over the period 1986-2020, found “considerable evidence of hot hand shooting in and across individuals”.
How do you determine hot hands in basketball?
To know whether the hot hand exists, you need to compare the probability of your participants’ scoring based on their own average shooting behavior. Comparing a person’s shooting behavior to their team’s average shooting will not tell you if the hot hand exists.
Is there a hot hand in basketball psychology?
Nearly every basketball player, coach or fan believes that some shooters have an uncanny tendency to experience the hot hand—also referred to as being “on fire,” “in the zone,” “in rhythm” or “unconscious.” The idea is that on occasion these players enter into a special state in which their ability to make shots is …
Is this enough to disprove the hot hand theory?
Not enough – A definitive statement cannot be made about the “hot hand” theory based on only one example. … Just as players may get a “hot hand,” they also may get a “cold hand,” meaning their probability of making shots lowers when they miss several in a row.
Why was it not a good idea to measure the hot hand?
it could affect your study participants’ shooting performance. Why was it not a good idea to measure the hot hand by counting the number of baskets each participant made? … You could not measure participants’ average shooting ability this way.